An extraordinary man

Posted on December 29, 2024 by Joe Weber

When might we see the equal of Jimmy Carter again?

By most recent accounts, he was a middling president.

In the latest Presidential Greatness Project Expert Survey, James Earl “Jimmy” Carter Jr. ranked 22^nd, sandwiched between Andrew Jackson and William Howard Taft, and three spots below George H.W. Bush (No. 19). Caught up in what The New York Times called a “cauldron of economic turmoil at home and crisis in Iran” and what The Wall Street Journal branded a “listless economy and stubborn inflation, squabbles within his party [and] gridlock in Congress,” our 39th president served just a single term from 1977 to 1981.

But Jimmy Carter was a remarkable man. Morally upright as a Sunday School teacher who was genuinely religious, he was committed to peacemaking and democracy at home and across the world. He was devoted to his wife of 77 years, whom he had met when he was 3 and she was just a day old. And, in all that and more, he demonstrated how there could be room in our politics for the high road.

Despite his failures – and circumstances he could not control, such as the prolonged seizure of hostages by Iran, an Arab oil embargo and domestic stagflation – Carter did log extraordinary achievements that sprang from his personal decency and integrity. A 1946 graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy who left active service as a lieutenant in 1953 and was a reservist until 1961, he proved to be a global peacemaker, bringing together Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin at Camp David in 1978 to forge a peace treaty between their countries that still endures.

Carter knew all too well the risks of war, especially in the nuclear age. As a submarine officer, he had a small hand in helping to develop the nuclear submarine fleet, working with Adm. Hyman Rickover, known as “the father of the nuclear navy.” Between November 1952 and March 1953, Carter served with the Naval Reactors Branch of the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission in Washington, D.C., aiding “in the design and development of nuclear propulsion plants for naval vessels.” He often visited the Hanford Works in Washington State, where plutonium was made, and Idaho, where the Nautilus prototype reactor was being built. He helped build a prototype nuclear reactor at the Knolls Atomic Power Laboratory in New York, according to Rear Adm. (Ret.) Sam Cox, who directs the Naval History and Heritage Command.

The Navy named a nuclear submarine for him. The U.S.S. Jimmy Carter is an advanced Seawolf-class submarine, a hunter-killer designed for special missions.

Because of his knowledge of the field, Carter once helped prevent a nuclear disaster. Carter and his team were called in when a power surge at Chalk River Laboratories in Ontario, Canada, caused fuel rods to melt in a nuclear reactor, damaging its core.

“Carter and his 22 other team members were separated into teams of three and lowered into the reactor for 90-second intervals to clean the site. It was estimated that a minute-and-a-half was the maximum time humans could be exposed to the levels of radiation present in the area,” Military.com reported. “It was still too much, especially by today’s standards. The future president had radioactive urine for months after the cleanup.”

During his presidency, Carter also signed a strategic arms limitation agreement with the Soviet Union that restrained nuclear weapons expansion. He formalized diplomatic relations with China. And he drove treaties turning over the Panama Canal to Panama.

At home, he was in some ways a precursor to Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and Joe Biden. A centrist Democrat, he pushed for deregulation of airlines, railroads and other industries, and established the Energy Department to regulate sources of energy and fund research into alternative sources. As historian Heather Cox Richardson noted, Carter tried make the government more representative of the American people: his domestic policy adviser Stuart Eizenstat said that Carter appointed more women, Black Americans, and Jewish Americans to official positions and judgeships “than all 38 of his predecessors combined.”

Of course, the longtime peanut farmer from Plains, Georgia, is most remembered now for his post-presidency. He built houses for the poor through Habitat for Humanity, an outfit that was born on an interracial Christian farm about 10 miles from where he grew up. He established the Carter Center to promote peace, fight disease, especially Guinea worm, and to combat social inequality. As a freelance diplomat, he traveled the world to promote democracy and peace and earning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2002.

A polymath, Carter wrote more than two dozen books. His memoir, “An Hour Before Daylight,” was a Pulitzer Prize finalist in 2002. He also held forth on religious themes, poetry and even wrote a children’s story. At least three of his works dealt with the Middle East, where he stirred up a tempest in one of by likening Israel’s policies on the West Bank to South African apartheid.

As a new BusinessWeek bureau chief in the late 1980s, I was fortunate enough to discuss his successes and disappointments about the Middle East with him on a private jet flight on one of his post-presidency humanitarian trips. While Carter’s insights no longer remain with me, my overall impression endures. He was soft-spoken, humble enough to be well aware of his shortcomings, and someone patient enough to put up with a young journalist’s sometimes-naive questions.

As we all know all too well, our politics has changed since Carter’s days.

Some nowadays might see common decency and honesty as failings or at least unhelpful traits in a president. Many, albeit a minority of American voters, in our latest election chose a man notorious for his personal and political defects. There’s no need here to list the many well-documented foibles in a man who, ranking 45^th, dead last, in that historians ranking, makes Carter look like an exceptional success.

Let’s just say the two couldn’t be more polar opposites. The gulf between them in a dozen respects is reminiscent of the Grand Canyon. And that gap is, tragically, a sad statement about America.

Despite the circumstances that did him in politically, Carter set a high bar that only a few presidents and former presidents since have come close to. As The New York Times headlined an editorial memorializing the former president, “America Needs More Jimmy Carters.” We’ll not see his like again, certainly not in the coming four years, and perhaps longer. RIP, Mr. President.

Diminished capacities

Posted on December 27, 2024 by Joe Weber

Biden has slipped, but Trump has plummeted

“History is a merciless judge,” author David Grann wrote. “It lays bare our tragic blunders and foolish missteps and exposes our most intimate secrets, wielding the power of hindsight like an arrogant detective who seems to know the end of the mystery from the outset.”

Just how kind or merciless history will be on President Joe Biden is unclear, of course. It will take years to properly assess his successes and failures.

Still, presidential history specialists last February ranked Biden as our 14^th best president. He placed a couple spots above Ronald Reagan and a bit down the list from such titans as Lincoln, F.D. Roosevelt, Washington and some others. Former President Barack Obama ranked seventh.

As for Donald J. Trump, based on his 2017-2021 tenure, he placed dead last at number 45.

Of course, this ranking was conducted before Biden’s apparently longstanding infirmities came to be widely known. It came well before his disastrous June 27 debate performance against the man he beat in 2020, his regrettably belated July 22 withdrawal from the campaign, and his Dec. 1 pardon of his son, Hunter.

Historians will have to put those developments, along with the Republican three-branch victory of Nov. 6, into perspective over time. It is, nonetheless, sad that these recent events are casting such a dark shadow on Biden’s tenure. If journalism is the first-rough draft of history, it’s been pretty rough lately on the outgoing president.

How unforgiving? Peggy Noonan of The Wall Street Journal mentions the debate, but expands considerably on Biden’s infirmity, what she calls “the scandal of 2024,” or “the decline of Joe Biden’s mental acuity,” in a piece headlined “The President Who Wasn’t There.” The columnist thunders that Biden’s disability “won’t take on its true size and historical significance until some time passes. Its facts—who did what, starting when, how it worked—will be fully reported not by journalists but by historians.”

That didn’t stop Noonan from comparing Biden to Woodrow Wilson, a man who had suffered disabling strokes and whose infirmity was long concealed. She writes that this deception “forever colored Wilson’s legacy and darkened the historical reputation of First Lady Edith Bolling Wilson,” who was believed to have led a conspiracy to hide Wilson’s diminishment. Of course, in the early years of the last century, such deceptions were easier to pull off.

Oddly enough, the February ranking of presidents put Wilson at number 15, just behind Biden. Recall that Wilson created the ill-fated but idealistic League of Nations after World War I. He also presided over ratification of the Nineteenth Amendment, giving women the right to vote, and laws that prohibited child labor and that mandated an eight-hour workday for railroad workers. And he appointed the first Jewish justice, Louis Brandeis, to the U.S. Supreme Court. Wilson had a long history of strokes and in 1919 suffered from one that incapacitated him until his term ended in 1921, historians say.

As for Biden, rumblings about his slippage had coursed through the media and Washington since at least last February, when Special Counsel Robert Hur’s report on Biden’s sloppiness with some classified documents noted that the president would “present himself to a jury, as he did during our interview of him, as a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.” Hur found the president to be confused about the timeline of events and unable to respond to some questions about his time as vice president.

Questions about Biden’s lucidity persisted after that, even as the White House pooh-poohed the worries. Officials endeavored to accommodate what WSJ reporters in a Dec. 19 front-page story called the needs of a diminished leader. “Aides kept meetings short and controlled access, top advisers acted as go-betweens and public interactions became more scripted,” a subhed summarized.

Still, history judges a president by more than one year. Biden may yet go down in the record for some stunning contributions to the nation’s health, including physically in the early days of his presidency. As Democratic pundit Donna Brazile wrote in The Hill, Biden’s accomplishments include: winning congressional approval for $4.6 trillion in investments to end the coronavirus pandemic with free vaccinations and treatments; stimulus checks of up to $1,400 for individuals, and other programs, and efforts that helped the economy to create more than 16 million jobs and cut the unemployment rate from 6.3 percent when he took office to 4.2 percent in November.

He also reduced health insurance and prescription drug costs for millions of Americans; made efforts to combat climate change while creating clean-energy jobs and manufacturing jobs, and he cut taxes for middle-class and working-class families and some businesses, while imposing a minimum tax on big corporations and cracking down on wealthy tax cheats. 

Signing the infrastructure bill, 2021; source: Reuters

Biden also signed a bill approving $1.2 trillion in investments to improve America’s roads, bridges, mass transit, rail, airports, ports, waterways and energy systems. His policies reduced illegal crossings on the southern border below the level that held when Trump left office. Biden also signed the CHIPS and Science Act into law to invest $53 billion to create semiconductor manufacturing jobs in the U.S., boosted health care benefits for veterans, issued an executive order to protect access to reproductive health care and appointed 233 federal judges confirmed by the Senate, including Kentanji Brown Jackson, the first Black woman to serve on the Supreme Court.

Those were just the headline achievements that historians may take into account.

Meanwhile, Trump continues to distinguish himself in far less praiseworthy ways. Of course, there are his nominees for administration leadership positions or the Clown Cabinet as we might call it. The fight over the exceptionally unqualified Matt Gaetz (a man with morals akin to Trump’s) is over, but others loom.

Perhaps in an effort to take the spotlight off the extraordinary group, Trump issued a Christmas message that, well, departed significantly from past norms. Here, courtesy of The Intelligencer, is his most memorable text:

For his part, Biden asked Americans to find a “stillness” at the heart of the holiday. He also released an extraordinary video tour of the lavishly decorated White House:

https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/HbZcyx7qKDc?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0

“Really look at each other,” Biden urged, “not as Democrats or Republicans, not as members of ‘Team Red’ or ‘Team Blue,’ but as who we really are: fellow Americans.”

An anodyne sentiment, perhaps? Maybe. But it’s a holiday-time appeal to our better angels (appropriately enough).

It’s certainly an appeal far more worthy of a president than the absurd, inaccurate and angry blather of a 78-year-old whose diminished capacities have been known for far longer than those of Biden. Sadly, those abilities will only slide further in the coming four years. Is it possible for a president to rank lower than last? We may find out.

Throwing the baby out with …

Posted on December 23, 2024 by Joe Weber

Are our economic problems matters of bad theory or bad practice?

David Ricardo, source: The History of Economic Thought

More than two centuries ago, British economist and Parliament member David Ricardo laid siege to the longstanding notion that nations were better off exporting more than they imported, classical mercantilism. His theory of comparative advantage, instead, became the reigning view. The result: enormous growth in trade and globe-wide enrichment.

Now, some on the right want to scrap that theory. Donald J. Trump would bludgeon trade with tariffs and attempt to boost domestic production by pushing other countries to set up factories in the U.S. And well-schooled critics such as Oren Cass would toss out the Ricardo model altogether.

“The theory works great in the classroom, but in reality it wasn’t just T-shirts that ended up going overseas,” Cass says of the notion that countries should specialize in what they do best, thus enriching us all. “The most sophisticated industries have left too. The United States ran consistent trade surpluses in advanced technology products until China joined the World Trade Organization. In 2002, that surplus flipped to a deficit that in 2023 exceeded $200 billion, with the nation importing more than $3 of advanced tech products for every $2 it exported.”

Let’s kill the old order and bring in the new, as the French once said and he seems to be saying. Then we’ll wind up with, what, a new Napoleon? Perhaps more Napoleons (or Trumps) across the globe?

Yes, China – practicing a form of mercantilism – has enriched itself enormously since the 1980s. Its exports have far exceeded its imports, as it has bested much of the world, first in low-price production and, more recently, in many areas of high-tech. There is good reason now that Elon Musk wants to build an AI center in the country — the country’s brainpower is immense.

And it’s clear that much of U.S. manufacturing has suffered as production of everything from Cass’s T-shirts to cars has grown overseas and in neighboring Mexico and Canada. Jobs in the sector peaked at 19.6 million in mid-1979. They now stand at below 12.9 million. (Is it any wonder that Trump, slamming global trade, won so many votes in dead-factory communities, even if his tariffs are likely to deal another blow to such supporters?)

So, comparative advantage brings curses as well as blessings. Well, duh.

Lots of stuff is cheaper worldwide – and there is much more of it – but there’s no doubt that some countries and sectors pay the cost. Indeed, for all the benefits Chinese mercantilism has brought much of the country – and for all the impoverished Chinese villagers who have been helped – China has penalized millions of its citizens by failing to develop a more import-welcoming consumer economy. Yes, the Chinese approach has eliminated extreme poverty, but per capita GDP there at less than $13,000 remains a far cry from the U.S. level of $86,600. China has also developed exceptional income inequality, even as relative poverty hasn’t disappeared.

Cass, in his early 40s, may not recall that we’ve seen parts of this mercantilist movie before. Free-trade advocate Clayton Yeutter, a Republican who opened world markets for Presidents Reagan and Bush, contended with Japanese trade barriers in the 1980s and ‘90s. Protectionism was rife in the U.S. at the time and the great fear was that Japanese tech would hobble us (and well-heeled Japanese would buy up all our real estate). In fact, our trade deficit with Japan has shrunk and Silicon Valley seems to be keeping us pretty competitive in tech.

So, should the U.S. follow the Chinese model? Should it make more T-shirts, as well as cars, solar panels, etc? Would making iPhones in California (or Michigan) really help us overall? And will the self-styled “tariff man’s” threatened 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico help us and them?

To be sure, Cass has a point that the real-world operation of comparative advantage has problems. But that’s because governments, such as that of China (or as that of tariff-happy Trump) don’t want to let free trade flourish. Instead, they meddle with it, creating all sorts of imbalances. Recall the huge farmer bailouts of Trump’s first term, a consequence of his trade war battles.

But does meddling mean that the theory is off? Does it not, in fact, make the theory of frictionless trade even more useful, more compelling? Is it not the proof that we’re better off overall when comparative advantage is our north star and that most of us suffer when it’s tampered with? Indeed, the problem seems to be less one of economics and more one of politics.

Yes, such trade brings costs – often searing human ones — to high production-cost countries, as they see competitors rise. A friend, Peter Coy of The New York Times, bemoans the withering of trade adjustment assistance in the U.S. , which may in part account for the Trumpian successes. We need a robust system of such aid, he argues, because it “compensates workers, firms, farmers and communities for damages related to trade, such as job losses caused by offshoring or competition from cheap imports. Workers, for example, get supplemental unemployment insurance benefits, job training and help with job search and relocation.”

One could argue that such aid to those displaced by trade is meddling of a different sort. But is aid to one’s citizens in need not one of the more useful functions of government? Has that not been a value since at least the New Deal, the program that saved American capitalism?

Indeed, capitalism by its nature creates winners and losers. Outdated technology goes the way of the buggy whip. That’s the nature of a competitive and innovative system in which all players can leap ahead of others, given capital and brainpower. And countries, including the U.S., need to work hard to keep up.

In his New York Times opinion piece, “What Economists Could Learn From George Costanza,” Cass argues that rigidity in economic circles is what is keeping theorists from developing a successor to Ricardo’s views. “Few things are harder to change than the minds of experts who have staked their reputations on a particular theory,” he holds. And it’s no doubt true, as my old economics prof observed, that economics advances from funeral to funeral.

Still, Ricardo’s revolutionary idea has endured for good reason. One has only to look around the globe and see how billions have been helped by trade to find proof of that. For all his criticisms, Cass doesn’t seem to be offering an alternative explanation for such successes. Perhaps that will come in a forthcoming commentary. Or, perhaps there is none.

“Let’s talk of graces, of worms, and epitaphs”

Posted on December 19, 2024 by Joe Weber

Are we seeing Shakespearean drama in action?

In Richard II, Shakespeare’s famous play, the king is loathed for his self-serving and self-deceptive rule. He wastes money, steals land and kills political rivals.

Just after Trump’s first inauguration in 2017, Cornell history professor Rachel Weil drew parallels to the then newly anointed president.

“But Trump seems to be falling into the same traps as Richard II,” she wrote. “He takes the idea that he represents the people literally. Witness his unsubstantiated claims about having really won the popular vote, or the odd assertion in his inaugural speech that ‘for the first time in history we are transferring power from Washington, DC, and giving it back to you, the People.’’’

Of course, Trump did win the popular vote this time around, garnering 77.3 million votes to Kamala Harris’s 75 million, according to the latest Cook Political Report tally. But was that, as he has claimed, a “massive” mandate and “an unprecedented and powerful mandate?”

Or has he swallowed the fiction of what Weil called a king’s “miraculous” qualities in the play, the “superhuman” nature he deludes himself about? Has Trump accepted nonsense about himself and his role and powers much as Shakespeare’s Richard II did? Trump’s self-image now seems to include even a divine mandate.

“Many people have told me that God spared my life for a reason and that reason was to save our country and to restore America to greatness,” he told his supporters after winning the election.

Messianic self-delusion at work?

Perhaps we should look a bit more closely at his “mandate.” Let’s start with two important numbers: 41 percent and 49.8 percent.

The first figure is Trump’s current approval rating, which is 10 percentage points lower than it was in December 2016, just before he took office the first time. That suggests that nearly six in 10 Americans are onto him (indeed, his rating in the Reuters/Ipsos poll has long hovered at around 40 percent, seemingly his base).

And then there’s the second number, 49.8 percent. That’s the share of the popular vote he got, according to the latest Cook report tally. By contrast, Harris took 48.3 percent, suggesting she was clearly not as well-received, but not with much of a shortfall statistically.

Indeed, it’s clear that fewer than half the voters endorsed Trump. Most preferred Harris or someone else. In what world does that amount to a popular mandate, much less a divinely ordained one?

Still, it must be admitted that Trump’s party won domination of all three branches of government and that he controls the GOP. The party of George Bush the elder and Ronald Reagan is now his. Such eloquent and reasonable statesmen are now history, as is their approach to building national unity.

And much of the nation – including most top elected officials – now are under the thumb of a man claiming heavenly anointment. Richard II redux?

Well, perhaps we should refer both to him and to the courtiers who are catering to his every whim. Some, in fact, may be guiding the often-irrational 78-year-old, Rasputin-like.

Even though we are weeks away from his investiture, the new would-be monarch and his influential acolytes are flexing their muscles. Trump and Elon Musk – which some have called a “shadow president” – this week have used the possibility of a government shutdown to begin a process of gutting the government.

They felt no qualms about embarrassing Speaker Mike Johnson, who had negotiated a bipartisan spending deal. They torpedoed it.

Surely, Trump won’t want a shutdown marring his inauguration. So, we likely will see some sort of deal before then, perhaps imminently.

But does the threat of such a closure reflect what most Americans want? Do the spending cuts threatened in the coming four years reflect popular will? Do most of us want at least $2 trillion in spending cut from a government that spent $6.75 trillion in the latest fiscal year, as Musk has suggested? His Department of Government Efficiency, as the odd entity he co-leads is called, is already foreshadowing its efforts with the destruction of the budget deal.

And where will Trump and Musk find the programs to cut? So-called discretionary spending – the stuff that Congress votes on annually — amounts to about $1.8 trillion, as The Wall Street Journal reported. This includes defense spending, such as buying everything from aircraft carriers to mess-hall meals, as the paper reported, to nondefense programs such as NASA, farm and housing programs, and such.

Will they go after Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid – even though Trump promised to not touch them? “The government’s big-ticket items provide healthcare for Americans and money for retirees,” the Journal reported. “Social Security benefits cost the government $1.45 trillion in the most recent fiscal year, according to CBO estimates published this month. Medicare and Medicaid were a combined $1.49 trillion.”

Already, some Republicans are renewing attacks on such programs. Utah Sen. Mike Lee, for instance, recently called Social Security a “Ponzi scheme that’s running out of new investors” and “government dependency at its worst.” Musk called Lee’s comments, in an X thread that Musk reposted, “interesting.”

For some billionaires, of course, programs that help folks of far smaller means are abstractions. If they ever knew hunger or want, they’ve apparently long forgotten that. And they are continuing a longstanding GOP resistance to such government efforts, an ideological battle that dates back to the New Deal.

In a sense, Trumpism isn’t all that new in this respect. It’s just another battle in the historic war between wealthy small-government ideologues and most Americans. With at least 13 billionaires in his proposed Cabinet and top offices, that battle clearly is tilted away from most Americans.

Heather Cox Richardson, source: Maine Public Radio

As Boston College historian Heather Cox Richardson wrote of laws passed in the New Deal that created Social Security and guaranteed various workers’ rights: “A majority of Americans of both parties liked the new system, but the reworking of the government shocked those who had previously dominated the country. As soon as the Social Security Act passed, opponents set out to destroy it along with the rest of the new system.”

The fight joined back then has long endured and it has involved many of the same demagogic tools. Just look at Trump’s campaign dog-whistles about race, religion and women’s rights. They, along with nativism, seem to be reliable standbys for a would-be right-wing president.

“A coalition of Republican businessmen who hated both business regulation and the taxes that paid for social programs, racists who opposed the idea of equal rights for racial and ethnic minorities, and religious traditionalists—especially Southern Baptists—who opposed the recognition of women’s equal rights, joined together to fight against the New Deal,” Richardson recounted.

So, Trump has vowed to deliver on the promises he made in his campaign. His tariff vows may rekindle inflation. His opposition to diversity and LGBTQ programs may inhibit rights minorities have fought for. His efforts to destroy the Department of Education may scramble our system of federal grants and advance such goals as destroying academic freedom and pursuits such as critical race theory. And, of course, we may see attacks on longstanding health mandates such as vaccination for childhood diseases.

Will taking such unpopular approaches ultimately do in a Trump Administration and guarantee a return of the Senate and House to Democrats in two years and of the White House in four? Of course, none of us can know that. We can’t know whether the extraordinarily dishonest and often incoherent Trump will deliver on his promises.

But, if he does, his fate could be a less violent replay of Richard II’s. In the play, the king is ousted and his main opponent seizes the crown. In the end, Richard is killed.

Our system, thankfully, provides for elections instead of such ugliness. But in the coming years, we may see either the permanent installation of a GOP minority or a renewed cyclical withering. Much will turn on what the once and future monarch decides.

Grace in victory, ya’ kiddin’ me?

Posted on December 18, 2024 by Joe Weber

For Donald J. Trump, there is no high road

Nearly five years ago, web publisher Elizabeth Spiers wrote an opinion piece for The Washington Post headlined “Trump is the ultimate sore winner. Now he’ll seek revenge.” This was after then-President Donald J. Trump was acquitted by the GOP-dominated Senate in his first impeachment.

Might he have been gracious in victory? Might he have extended an olive branch to critics? Might he have even shown a touch of shame, contrition and regret?

Fuggadabout it.

Within 48 hours, Trump fired two witnesses who testified in the case, ordering hotel-chain founder Gordon D. Sondland recalled from his post as the ambassador to the European Union and having Lt. Col. Alexander S. Vindman, a decorated Iraq war veteran on the National Security Council staff, marched out of the White House by security guards. He also ousted Vindman’s brother, Lt. Col. Yevgeny Vindman, from the NSC staff.

Trump’s press secretary declared that those who hurt the president “should pay for” it.

So, is it any surprise that president-elect Trump hasn’t even waited until he assumes office to rain hell on his real and perceived critics? Is it any wonder that he has sued Gannett, The Des Moines Register and a pollster over simply reporting a pre-election Iowa poll that showed him as slightly behind Kamala Harris in the state?

In his mind, the pollster was guilty of “brazen election interference,” according to the suit. Reporting the news, to Trump, is interfering with an election, it seems.

This followed an October suit against CBS News in federal court in Texas, in which Trump alleged that “60 Minutes” engaged in deceptive trade practices — an odd charge — when it aired an interview with Kamala Harris. He objected to editing that he claimed made Harris look better.

“It’s clear that Trump is waging war on the press,” Samantha Barbas, a professor at the University of Iowa College of Law told The New York Times. “Trump and his lawyers are going to use any legal claim that they think has a chance of sticking. They’ll cast a wide net to carry out this vendetta.”

So don’t expect graciousness in victory from the once and future president. Vindictiveness and intimidation are his longstanding tropes.

“If somebody attacks him, he attacks them back, he says, ten times as hard,” New York Times reporter Peter Baker said. “He’s not about diplomacy. He’s not about negotiation. He is all about the fight.”

Whether slights are big or small, imagined or real, Trump uses whatever levers of power he has to slash anyone who crosses him or might do so. He appears to take to heart a couple of Niccolò Machiavelli’s pieces of advice: “It is better to be feared than loved, if you cannot be both” and “If an injury has to be done to a man it should be so severe that his vengeance need not be feared.”

How petty can the once and future president be?

He once built a hill in front of a cottage in Scotland whose owner had opposed a Trump golf course and hotel development — so the cottage’s yard flooded whenever it rained.

Beyond just owning a thin skin, Trump has a method to his viciousness. Hitting back hard is pure Trump; it’s something he learned from one of his first lawyers, the late disbarred Joe McCarthy errand boy Roy Cohn. As a cousin of the notorious lawyer said, “Roy Cohn showed him that you can turn around a situation just by ignoring the facts and going after your attacker.”

Trump does that either with legal action or verbal savagery, a powerful weapon when wielded by someone in the White House.

Rex Tillerson, his former secretary of state, was “dumb as a rock and I couldn’t get rid of him fast enough. He was lazy as hell.” Adviser Steve Bannon “cried when he got fired and begged for his job.” Former White House Communications Director Anthony Scaramucci was a “highly unstable ‘nut job.’ ” Former assistant Omarosa Manigault was “wacky” and “deranged,” “a lowlife.” Former national security adviser John Bolton was “very publicly terminated.”

Making people pay has long been a key to Trump’s approach. Spiers noted that as a casino operator, he invented fake ethical scandals about people who could have exposed him as a terrible businessman. Recall that he drove his casinos into bankruptcy six times (really, what amount of stupidity or, more likely, greed does it take to bankrupt a gaming house?)

He’s especially nasty toward the media, apparently hoping he can cow critical journalists.

The $16 million settlement he won from ABC parent Disney seems to have invigorated him. In his recent press conference, he referred to ongoing lawsuits he has brought against publisher Simon & Schuster over the rights to recorded interviews he gave to journalist Bob Woodward, and the Pulitzer Prize board for reaffirming awards it gave to The New York Times and Washington Post for their reporting on ties between his 2016 campaign and Russia.

“It costs a lot of money to do it, but we have to straighten out the press,” Trump said. “Our press is very corrupt. Almost as corrupt as our elections.”

While Disney’s surrender has riled many in the media, what’s more troubling is that it may have been a product of fears that a Trumpian judiciary in Florida and beyond, as well as a Trump-friendly jury in the red state, would have backed the former president up.

A federal judge in the state in July denied Disney’s motion to dismiss Trump’s suit. As The New York Times reported: “A reasonable jury could interpret Stephanopoulos’s statements as defamatory,” Judge Cecilia M. Altonaga, a George W. Bush appointee, wrote, and then added an emphasis in italics. “Stephanopoulos stated ten times that a jury — or juries — had found plaintiff liable for rape.”

Beyond Trump’s concerns, his war on the media could have far-reaching effects for others who share his feelings of victimization. Lee Levine, a retired media lawyer, told The Wall Street Journal that the Disney settlement will embolden some media critics. That could potentially chill news outlets’ handling of sensitive stories, the paper reported. It “will definitely have an impact on news coverage going forward,” Levine said.

“You need a fair press,” Trump also said, striking an heroic pose. “I’m doing this not because I want to. I’m doing this because I feel I have an obligation to.”

Gimme a break. Trump’s litigiousness should be a lesson to anyone in media who believes that capitulating to him will spare them his ire (take note, owners of The Washington Post and the Los Angeles Times).

He will use whatever powers are available to him to muzzle or punish critics in journalism and elsewhere. His choice to head the FBI, Kash Patel, said months before the election that he would use his post “to come after the people in the media who lied about American citizens, who helped Joe Biden rig presidential elections.”

And Trump has made it clear he will use his Justice Department to exact vengeance on political opponents, such as former Rep. Liz Cheney, whom House Republicans want investigated criminally for her role in leading the panel that probed the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the Capitol. A House subcommittee, echoing Trump’s attacks, recommended the investigation in a recently issued report that suggested she tampered with a witness.

“Liz Cheney could be in a lot of trouble based on the evidence obtained by the subcommittee, which states that ‘numerous federal laws were likely broken by Liz Cheney, and these violations should be investigated by the FBI,’” Trump wrote in a post on his Truth Social network.

Trump’s enemies list is a long one. That’s why some, such as Sen. Bernie Sanders, have urged President Biden to issue preemptive pardons to, among others, the entire Jan. 6 House investigative panel.

“You know, when Trump talks about sending to jail people who were on that Jan. 6 committee, that sounds like being a tin-pot dictator,” Sanders said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” “This is what authoritarianism is all about. It’s what dictatorship is all about…. You do not arrest elected officials who disagree with you.”

Would-be appointee Patel seems to think arrests and worse are appropriate and not only for elected officials, but just rank and file government staffers. In a 2023 book, Patel listed 60 people whom he classified as “members of the executive branch deep state” — a “cabal of unelected tyrants” who posed “the most dangerous threat to our democracy.”

And he has since said that the Trump administration must deal with this “deep state,” be it “criminally or civilly.”

At least one potential target on Patel’s list, former Justice Department public affairs office director Sarah Isgur, argues she would prefer a prosecution to a pardon that would be seen as an affirmation of guilt.

“If we broke the law, we should be charged and convicted,” Isgur wrote in a New York Times opinion piece headlined “I Don’t Want a Pardon from Biden. None of Us Should.” “If we didn’t break the law, we should be willing to show that we trust the fairness of the justice system that so many of us have defended. And we shouldn’t give permission to future presidents to pardon political allies who may commit real crimes on their behalf.”

Certainly, Isgur is taking a high-minded approach. She notes, however, that such prosecutions would likely be unpopular with many Americans, including those who voted for Trump.

“If he wants to prosecute everyone on his list, it’s going to require a lot of law enforcement resources,” she writes. “At a time when much of the American public wants the president to focus on inflation, crime and immigration, voters may not be pleased if drug cartels are a lower priority than prosecuting Liz Cheney for treason.”

Of course, for Trump and his toadies, using taxpayer money and resources to browbeat enemies would likely be cost-free. He wouldn’t be paying the bill — we all would — and he would force his targets – whether well-heeled or not – to spend a lot in their defenses.

As The New York Times reported, Trump famously lost a libel case that he brought against the writer Timothy O’Brien for allegedly understating Trump’s net worth. During the 2016 election, Trump told The Washington Post that it was worth it, even with the loss.

“I spent a couple of bucks on legal fees, and they spent a whole lot more,” he said of O’Brien and his book publisher. “I did it to make his life miserable, which I’m happy about.”

If that’s the sort of thing that makes Trump happy, buckle up. If you’ve watched him over time — or, heck, just visited one of his gaudy hotels — you know that grace is not part of his repertoire.

Kowtowing to a new reality

Posted on December 15, 2024 by Joe Weber

Why ABC’s settlement is a problem for the press and us all

Over the years, when major TV networks have displeased Donald J. Trump, he has been quick to respond.

After moderators on ABC fact-checked his false statements during a presidential candidate debate in September, he called the network “dishonest” and railed against it on Fox. “To be honest they are a news organization, they have to be licensed. They ought to take away their license for the way they did that,” he said on Fox & Friends.

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Then, he took umbrage at CBS for an editing decision in an interview with Kamala Harris, saying it should lose its broadcast license. And, a few weeks before the general election, he went on his Truth Social to expand his targets to include not only CBS, but also “all other Broadcast Licenses.”

The TV-sensitive Trump’s attacks followed those from as far back as 2017, when he tweeted: “With all of the Fake News coming out of NBC and the Networks, at what point is it appropriate to challenge their License? Bad for Country!,” followed by “Network news has become so partisan, distorted and fake that licenses must be challenged and, if appropriate, revoked. Not far to public!”

So, now that the once and future president will again wield influence over the ostensibly independent Federal Communications Commission, is it any wonder that ABC has kowtowed to him in agreeing to pay $16 million to settle a defamation suit he brought? Indeed, Trump just named a new chair for the commission, Brendan Carr, a Project 2025 contributor who has said networks should be punished for political bias.

Just how much power Trump, Carr and the FCC will have over the networks is in dispute. The networks don’t need licenses to operate, even though local affiliate stations do.

And, while the White House doesn’t control FCC decisions, it does appoint the five commission members. Surely, the other four will be parrots for Carr, who is already firing shots across the bow. The Republican operative and Trump toady just wrote on X that “broadcast media have had the privilege of using a scarce and valuable public resource — our airwaves. In turn, they are required by law to operate in the public interest.” As chairman, he added, “the FCC will enforce this public interest obligation.”

Brendan Carr, source: Getty Images via Variety

Moreover, Trump’s Department of Justice will have power over corporate media deals. Recall that in his first term Trump tried to block AT&T’s acquisition of CNN’s owner, Time Warner (though Justice’s antitrust division failed in that effort in court). That potent lever could bode ill for ABC and the other networks.

Even while presidents are somewhat hemmed in by longstanding free speech protections, there’s no doubt that Trump, as president again, can make life very tough for broadcast media. Tom Wheeler, FCC chairman from 2013 to 2017, told The New York Times that Trump’s threats could create a “chilling effect” on how news organizations make editorial calls.

“It is hard to yank a license; it is particularly hard to yank a license on the instruction of the president of the United States,” Wheeler said. “But it is not hard to have an impact on decision making.”

So, ABC’s decision, while alarming to believers in a free press, is not surprising. The case at issue turns on politics, lust and semantics.

Anchor George Stephanopoulos last spring repeatedly referred to Trump as being “liable for rape” after a jury found him liable for “sexual abuse” in a mid-1990s assault on writer E. Jean Carroll. Without her consent, Trump had penetrated Carroll with his finger in an assault in a New York department store dressing room. While Trump objected to the term “rape,” the judge in the case acknowledged that the terms were interchangeable in real-world use, even though they were legally distinct.

“The finding that Ms. Carroll failed to prove that she was ‘raped’ within the meaning of the New York Penal Law does not mean that she failed to prove that Mr. Trump ‘raped’ her as many people commonly understand the word ‘rape,’” Judge Lewis A. Kaplan wrote. “Indeed, as the evidence at trial recounted below makes clear, the jury found that Mr. Trump in fact did exactly that.” Kaplan said New York’s legal definition of “rape” is “far narrower” than the word is understood in “common modern parlance.”

Trump still owes Carroll nearly $90 million, plus interest, in the matter. He was found liable for that because he defamed her, according to two juries. Of course, the litigious mogul is appealing and may be hoping a friendly judiciary — one larded with his appointees — will vindicate him.

The facts, and Kaplan’s comments in a binding ruling, suggest that ABC likely would have had a good case, had it stood its ground and fought. Indeed, had Trump lost the election, it’s hard to see how the network would have bent the knee as it has. But, as president, Trump will just have too much power over it, network executives seem to think.

From a purely financial standpoint, moreover, the $16 million is peanuts compared with what litigating the case would cost. And it’s notable that $15 million will not go directly to Trump, but rather to his future presidential foundation and museum ($1 million goes to legal fees). Notably, neither Stephanopoulos nor the network apologized for the comments, saying only that they “regret” them.

It is a far cry from the $787 million that Fox agreed to pay Dominion Voting Systems for defaming the company in its dishonest and incorrect reporting. “The truth matters. Lies have consequences,” the company’s lawyer said in discussing the settlement.

It’s a bit surprising, in fact, that Trump didn’t press for more money or to have it go directly into his pockets. But it seems likely that he valued the PR effect and his ability to crow about the deal to his followers even more. He also may not have relished the idea of prolonged litigation that drew still more attention to his longstanding sexual depravity.

Is this all appalling, nonetheless? Unquestionably.

Much as the decisions by the owners of The Washington Post and the Los Angeles Times to kill editorial page endorsements of Kamala Harris, ABC’s action seems like another case of what Yale historian Timothy Snyder calls “anticipatory obedience.” This is where organizations or individuals facing a tyrannical leader rush to yield in hopes he will not crush them.

“Most of the power of authoritarianism is freely given,” Snyder writes in his book On Tyranny. “In times like these, individuals think ahead about what a more repressive government will want, and then offer themselves without being asked. A citizen who adapts in this way is teaching power what it can do.”

For those counting on the press to act as a guardrail against Trump’s excesses, the ABC decision seems craven, at best. It’s of a piece with the steady stream of major execs rushing to kiss Trump’s, ahem, ring by jetting off to Mar-a-Lago to dine with him and donate to his inaugural fund. Perhaps the most shameful is the $1 million donation by Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos.

What’s more, it’s not at all clear that ABC’s choice will make any difference over the coming four years. The notoriously thin-skinned Trump may yet threaten its ability to broadcast the truth when something else offends him.

Sadly, we can be sure that the journalists there will second-guess everything they do now to try to avoid irking the king. That’s the way tyrants work. Self-censorship, authoritarians across the world have found, is the best kind.

With a Trumpist Senate, House and judiciary, the incoming president will have extraordinary power to shape the laws and practices we follow. With decisions such as ABC’s, he may also in effect hold sway over the reporting and discussion of any of his efforts, perverting reports to suit his often distorted view of reality.

Will the media be able any longer to shine a light on the truth? Will more print media fall in line behind the Times, Post and ABC? And just how much of a difference will that make, in any case?

As shown by an election in which a bit over 49 percent of voters ignored or dismissed a ceaseless cascade of troublesome headlines and broadcast stories, the media is far less of a counterweight than it once was or should be. In their thrall to a strongman, far too much of the public — though not quite a majority — simply doesn’t seem to care about facts.

It’s hard to find reason for optimism, for hope that things could change for the better with Trump holding the whip hand at the moment. Still, in our electoral system, little is forever. Enough voters may care about reality that things could change with the midterm elections in a couple years. Certainly, that happened in Trump’s first term and in 2020.

In the end, Trump may have just a couple years to cow networks and intimidate journalists. But, as the ABC decision suggests, a tyrant to whom all kneel can do a lot of damage. Will his loathsome handiwork prove to be lasting? We’ll all have to stay tuned for that.

An argument for fairness

Posted on December 9, 2024 by Joe Weber

The problems with the fracas at the Los Angeles TimeS

When longtime Los Angeles Times legal columnist Harry Litman quit the paper, furious at its owner for “cozying up” to Donald J. Trump by cancelling an endorsement of Kamala Harris, he raised one of the most troubling questions in political journalism today. Should news outlets scrap the idea of “balance” in their coverage?

“First, the idea of balance is fundamentally misplaced when on one side of the balance is a sociopathic liar like Donald Trump,” Litman wrote in a Substack. The paper’s owner, Dr. Patrick Soon-Shiong, “apparently would have the Times deliver an on-the-one-hand, on-the-other-hand presentation to readers. But there is no ‘other hand.’ Trump is an inveterate liar, and journalists have a defining responsibility to call that out.”

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Litman further attacked the longstanding journalistic credo of neutrality, something long called “objectivity.” Instead, he suggested that news outlets need to clearly take a side, seemingly both on their editorial and news pages. He was particularly irked about the shelving of a multi-part series, “The Case Against Trump,” that was slated to run (presumably on the news pages) as a companion to the spiked pro-Harris editorial.

“These are not normal times. Look around. We are in the political, cultural, and legal fight of our lifetimes. Trump’s conduct since winning the election only reinforces his determination to replace constitutional rule with some form of authoritarian rule,” Litman wrote. “So the neutral posture that Soon-Shiong uses to justify his violence to the paper is exactly, fundamentally wrong. This is no time for neutrality and disinterest. It’s rather a time for choosing. And a choice for true facts and American values is necessarily a vigorous choice against Donald Trump.”

Litman’s impassioned argument is understandable, based in cold, hard facts and on claims by Trump himself about his intentions and his targets. The writer is also unquestionably correct about the incoming president’s long litany of lies, both in his first term and in the recent election. And Litman rightly observes that “people who voted for Trump were fed a relentless false account of issue after issue, including Trump’s signature distortions about immigrants (eating pets, committing a disproportionate number of violent crimes), which Fox News and right-wing social media parroted relentlessly.”

But his suggestions and solution, in the end, are wrong-headed and self-defeating. They not only call for violating longstanding journalistic ethics about fairness, but they would have exactly the opposite effect he seeks on the electorate – especially the 49.9 percent of American voters who backed Trump (by the latest Associated Press count, though the Atlas of U.S. Elections pegs Trump’s tally at 49.72 percent). They likely would drive such folks even further away from responsible media than they are now.

Litman is in effect arguing that the press must become full-throated participants in The Resistance, as the effort was called during Trump’s first term. But is that tack going to persuade anyone in the 49 percent? Or, rather, are they simply going to do more of what such folks have done for decades, which is to turn away from the press as hopelessly biased? Recall that just 11% of Republicans and only 58% of Democrats have a high degree of trust in the media, as reported in 2023.

Followed to its logical conclusion, Litman’s argument would have the press shouting into a void, preaching only to the choir. Sure, unceasing hostile coverage would please anti-Trump readers, reassuring them about their legitimate fury at the man and the dangers he poses. But would it make any difference in the end with many alienated folks? Would it win over hearts and minds that need to be gained?

Ever since Trump appeared on the electoral scene, we have seen polarization widen in the media. On the one side, news and opinion coverage in responsible outfits such as The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, The Atlantic and The New Yorker, as well as CNN and MSNBC, has been relentlessly negative. On the other, fawning operations such as Fox News and Newsmax have trumpeted rightist misstatements and exaggerations, pandering flagrantly to Trump and his partisans (and gaining ground in the process).

And the election results, tragically, suggest that the anti-Trump reports in the media made no significant dent. No matter how many ugly, if accurate, headlines the critics produced about Trump’s lies and dangerous plans, his backers remained unmoved. Many likely never saw them.

At best, the outlets proved impotent beyond their loyal readerships. At worst – and this is the more dangerous thing for our democracy and for an informed public – they alienated potential readers and viewers with the ceaseless critiques, no matter how legitimate they were.

In short, The Resistance failed. And now, Litman’s call for an end to balance and neutrality would drive it further into the wilderness. Abandoning such principles would cost the media still more readers and viewers.

What’s more, his problematic solution – as shown by his action – is to quit. Three other editorial page members did so at the LA Times and some 2,000 readers did so, in effect, by cancelling their subscriptions. Rather than join the fray and battle it out with pro-Trump commentators (such as CNN right-winger Scott Jennings whom Soon-Shiong is hiring as he develops what he called “diverse perspectives”) Litman took his marbles and went home.

Just who does that help? Certainly, it may be satisfying to Litman. And, yes, he still can air his views in his Substack and even might find other outlets. But will remaining LA Times readers be served by his trenchant views not appearing any longer in the paper?

In the end, the press needs to call out Trump’s lies. It needs to report fully and fairly on whatever dictatorial overreaches he attempts. It must report on the incompetents and ideologues he plans to lard his Cabinet with. It has to raise questions about the dubious judges he is likely to stock the courts with, right up to the highest court in the land.

Moreover, it will be obliged to report on the pernicious economic effects likely to arise from Trump’s tariffs. It will need to detail the human tragedies that his deportation plans will spawn. It must spell out whatever disasters arise from foreign policies, perhaps including the abandonment of Ukraine. Certainly, it has to cover the disregard for the law shown by his plans to pardon Jan. 6 insurgents.

All that demands coverage. But, at least in the news pages, that coverage should be free of the writers’s opinions. Sure, they should quote the many smart Trump critics, but they also must give voice to his credible defenders (hard as they may be to find). Put the authorial condemnations on the editorial pages, along with defenses. But leave the news pages to tell things straight.

My suggestion, for instance, for the LA Times series, “The Case Against Trump,” would have been a sister series, “The Case For Trump.” Admittedly, the latter would be harder to flesh out than the former, but some in a near majority of the electorate may have warmed to it (and perhaps would then have read the critical package, too).

Importantly, fairness differs from “bothsidesism.” It’s not a matter of he said/she said coverage that insists on equal numbers of inches for various sides. The first mission of the press is to seek out the truth, as best it can, and that doesn’t mean parroting “alternative facts.” When the president speaks falsely, as he surely will, that must be called out, for instance.

But, in the case of Trump, it means letting people in positions of trust for him air their views, even if others undercut them. It means trying to understand the fears and hopes of his supporters and reflecting them in the coverage, as well as pointing out likely shortcomings in solutions by Trump (will he really bring down the prices of groceries, for instance?)

In the end, I disagree with Litman’s approach, but I second his fact-based criticisms of Trump, a man all too easy to loathe and fear. But I also am mindful of the need for fairness in journalism.

That fairness ideal is fragile, relatively new and almost uniquely American.

As I wrote in an academic paper some years ago, it wasn’t until after World War I that a devotion to what was then called objectivity took hold in the U.S. In 1923, the American Society of Newspaper Editors adopted the Canons of Journalism, mandating that “news reports should be free from opinion or bias of any kind.” The American Newspaper Guild, the journalists’ union, in 1934 adopted a code of ethics that called for accurate and unbiased reporting, guided “only by fact and fairness.” And by the end of World War II, objectivity was “universally acknowledged to be the spine of the journalist’s moral code,” according to academics Michael S. Schudson and Susan E. Tifft.

Yes, “objectivity” has long since been discredited, since no one is truly objective. The very questions journalists raise and their choices of what constitutes news are subjective matters. Their approaches arise from their backgrounds, their educations and their biases.

But fairness as an ideal endures. It’s a value that my former editor at BusinessWeek, Steve Shepard, insisted on, even as we undertook viewpoint-oriented magazine journalism. It’s possible both to have little use for Soon-Shiong’s financially self-interested actions at the LA Times and to uphold the ideal of fairness and balance in coverage.

Indeed, if journalists don’t do that, the levels of trust in media will surely plunge still further.

As our major political institutions seem compromised by Trumpism, and at a time when the risks that Trump’s presidency poses for our democracy are all too real, the press is a guardrail we can’t afford to lose. And that’s why the press can’t afford to keep losing its audience.

Litman calls balance a “bromide.” Isn’t it, instead, a pillar that should not be undercut, whether by Trump or those opposed to him? Should we, in effect, help a potential tyrant by abandoning cherished journalistic ideals?

Echoes of the past

Posted on December 6, 2024 by Joe Weber

Visits to Portugal and Spain suggest a rough road for the U.S.

Sagrada Familia, Barcelona; source: author

“History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes,” an old maxim goes. Are we about to see some such sad, even tragic, poetry again?

I’m reminded of the question after spending a few weeks in Portugal, Spain and Germany, visits that gave me some perspective on the president we will inaugurate next month. Recall that this is the same man who vowed to be a dictator for at least a day.

Germany’s ugly history with a tyrant at the helm need not be repeated here. But, for some readers, the experiences in Portugal and Spain may be unfamiliar. They also may be more instructive.

Consider Portugal, where the “Ponte 25 de Abril” rises high above the Tagus River between Lisbon and Almada. When the bridge was built in 1966, dictator António de Oliveira Salazar named it for himself. After his regime fell in the Carnation Revolution in 1974 and his successor, Marcello José das Neves Alves Caetano, was driven out of the country, Portugal’s new leaders renamed the span for the date of the upheaval.

Ponte 25 de Abril, Almada to Lisbon; source: Wikipedia

Lasting 41 years, the Portuguese dictatorship was the longest-lived one in Europe. It beat the rule of Francisco Franco Bahamonde in neighboring Spain, whose regime lasted 36 years. Spain’s tyranny ended with Franco’s death in 1975.

Their tenures had extraordinarily personal effects on the people of the countries.

Portugal’s Women’s Liberation Movement, 1970s; source: Jacobin

Salazar’s control was pervasive. As reported by Daniel Melo of the University of Lisbon, censors battered the press and propaganda abounded. Women were subjugated, largely confined to their homes, except for attending to education and caring functions, as well as providing for Christian sacraments.

The Roman Catholic Church became a tool for the regime’s cultural vision. “First and foremost of these was the retrieval or (re)invention of so-called popular traditions in keeping with the fundamentalist Catholic mother church,” Melo writes. He points to “the ultranationalist cult and the rationale of mass mobilization in conformist cultural activities, appealing to ruralist and traditionalist nostalgia and/or those already enshrined in mass culture, from the emergence of cultural and entertainment industries.”

Christ-King monument, Almada, Portugal, built 1949-59; source: author

Are there echoes there in the irreligious Donald J. Trump’s cynical and opportunistic use of religion? Does suppression of women’s rights to control their own bodies have a precursor in the approach by Salazar, whose links to women have been much disputed? Does the assault on the media by a thrice-married philandering felon and sexual abuser mirror that of the Portuguese dictator?

As for Franco, his authoritarian rule included similar traditional religious tyranny, as well as the establishment of concentration camps and the execution of political and ideological enemies.

Do such prison camps bring to mind Trump’s plans for deportation camps? Certainly, he wouldn’t get away with executing political opponents, but his intention to persecute them is so serious that the Biden Administration is considering pre-emptive pardons. The current president may have to do so for himself, as well as Vice President Kamala Harris, former Vice President Mike Pence and Sens. Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer and former Rep. Liz Cheney, all of whom Trump has singled out for criticism.

To be sure, there are differences between our system and the unbridled power that the Iberian dictators had. For one, there is still an oversight function exercised at times by the Senate and Congress. And even if both are Trumpist, pressure brought to bear by good journalism can have an effect.

So far, such pressure has driven out one of the proposed nominees for the clown car Cabinet, potential Attorney General candidate Matt Gaetz. This came about even as the Trumpists blocked publication of a report that would have detailed his depravity. By contrast, it’s possible that Defense Department head nominee Pete Hegseth will yet survive similar pressure, though the headwinds against him are strong.

But the clown-in-chief’s selection of such bozos suggests just how erratic and problematic governance will be in the coming four years. No doubt, he’ll find others – perhaps more dangerously capable ones, such as Gaetz replacement Pam Bondi and possible Hegseth successor Ron DeSantis – to do his destructive bidding. Their efforts may amount to a reversal of the role of government, as eloquently described by historian Heather Cox Richardson, who points to Trump’s promises “to reject Biden’s economic vision and resurrect the system of the years before 2021 in which a few individuals could amass as much wealth as possible.”

“The change in ideology is clear from Trump’s cabinet picks,” Richardson writes. “While the total net worth of the officials in Biden’s Cabinet was about $118 million, Laura Mannweiler of U.S. News and World Report noted, a week ago she estimated the worth of Trump’s roster of appointees to be at least $344.4 billion, more than the gross domestic product of 169 countries.”

Are such folks going to make life better for ordinary Americans? Do they have even the remotest connection to the working-class folks who elected their leader?

As Wall Street Journal columnist Peggy Noonan noted, “the exotic cabinet picks that veer from ‘that’s a stretch’ to ‘that’s insane.’ The more exotic nominees—Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at Health and Human Services, Pete Hegseth at Defense, Kash Patel at the Federal Bureau of Investigation, Mehmet Oz at Medicare and Medicaid Services—don’t have backgrounds that fit the jobs. Taken together they look like people who want to blow things up.”

Just give some thought to what The New Yorker had to say about Kennedy, a man who is raving proof of the theory of thinning bloodlines. “Kennedy has indicated that he intends to reëxamine safety data for approved vaccines, advise municipalities not to add fluoride to their water supply, halt infectious-disease research at the N.I.H. and fire six hundred of its employees, and reverse the F.D.A.’s ‘aggressive suppression’ of, among other things, discredited COVID remedies such as ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine,” the magazine reported.

Source: Monte Wolverton & Columbus Dispatch

“Earlier this year, Kennedy said that he would seek to prosecute medical journals if they didn’t ‘start publishing real science.’ (The Lancet, one of the alleged offenders, recently published a study showing that vaccines have saved more than a hundred and fifty million lives in the past half century, or about six lives a minute.),” The New Yorker continued. “Amid the rising threat of bird flu—this month, a teen-ager in Canada was infected and hospitalized in critical condition—Kennedy has suggested that we should relax restrictions on the sale of raw milk, which, because it is unpasteurized, can potentially spread the virus.

“The pro-Trump editorial board of the New York Post, which met with Kennedy last year, wrote that his views amounted to a ‘head-scratching spaghetti of . . . warped conspiracy theories,’ and concluded that ‘he’s nuts on a lot of fronts.’ Kennedy has insinuated that H.I.V. isn’t the cause of aids, that Wi-Fi induces ‘leaky brain,’ that chemicals in the water are responsible for ‘sexual dysphoria,’ and that Anthony Fauci and Bill Gates led a cartel to prolong the covid pandemic and ‘amplify its mortal effects in order to promote their mischievous inoculations.’”

Even lesser Cabinet picks, such as likely Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick of the Cantor Fitzgerald firm must give one pause. He made his rep and his billions pitching shell companies – akin to those valueless penny stock investments that ripped off people decades ago in Colorado. As The Wall Street Journal noted, such “deals made money for Cantor, but many worked out badly for ordinary investors.”

Of course, for the felon-in-chief, someone such as Lutnick is a bird of a feather. Recall that Trump paid a $2 million fine for misusing charitable funds. And remember how his six business bankruptcies screwed over many ordinary folks. Trump is still on the hook for $88.3 million, plus interest, for his assault of E. Jean Carroll.

Portugal, Spain and, of course, Germany survived their tyrannical leaders, though it took a world war and revolutions to do so. The work of brilliant artists, such as architect Antoni Gaudí i Cornet, endured during their terms, even though the Sagrada Familia was damaged during the Spanish Civil War. Such countries emerged as stronger democracies.

But it took decades for them to recover from the dictators who ran them. As we hear so many rhymes of the past today, what will be the fate of the U.S.? Trump will disappear in time, but how much damage can he and his minions do?